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Topics - MassGM

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1
League Press Releases / 75 for 75 - Right Field
« on: August 17, 2018, 07:30:44 AM »
1) Ron Guinan * 2019 - 2031
Guinan is most famous for his propensity to land on the disabled list.  I found this old player card which details player history through 2029.  The injuries included:
Injured on 4/26/2022 with a Fractured Hand, out for 6 weeks...
Injured on 4/26/2023 with a Strained Back, out for 2 weeks...
Injured on 7/10/2023 with a Dislocated Shoulder, out for 2 weeks...
Injured on 6/3/2024 with a Broken Hand, out for 4 weeks...
Injured on 9/3/2025 with a Strained Hamstring Muscle, out for 3 weeks...
Injured on 4/12/2026 with a Bruised Ribs, out for one week...
Injured on 6/13/2027 with a Scratched Cornea Eye, out for 1-2 weeks...
Injured on 8/8/2027 with a Fractured Knee, out for 4-5 weeks...
Injured on 9/8/2028 with a Broken Jaw, out for 4 weeks...
Ultimately, the injuries caught up with him
There is no bigger story in baseball this week.  The NPBL's single-season Home Run king, Ron Guinan, is done. 

The 33-year-old surefire hall-of-famer, who hit an NPBL record 62 homers in 2028 and has hammered 50 or more bombs in each of the past 3 seasons, destroyed his back making a diving catch on September 3rd against the Rhode Island Reds.  Guinan, who had a reputation for being brittle, was batting .348 with 42 homers and 115 RBI so far this year and was looking for his 4th-straight 50 homer and 7th straight 100-RBI season.  He made the retirement official 3 days later.
The early retirement means that Guinan holds the distinction of having the best final season of a career.  The five best send-off seasons are



2) Stone Nichols * 2048 - 2060
It may come as a surprise to some to see Guinan ranked ahead of Nichols.  It’s very close between the two former Virginia Gray right fielders. 

Ultimately, what it came down to in my scoring system is that Guinan had a better YOPDI score – by a very slight margin.  Both outfielders had 9 seasons as the top RF and both outfielders also had two additional seasons ranked in the top ten.  Guinan was the second best RF in 2023 and the third best in 2021, while Nichols ranked 6th in both 2048 and 2058.
John Yuda, the manager of both Guinan and Nichols ranked Nichols ahead of Guinan.  My guess is that he did so due to the fact that Guinan was injury prone and often frustratingly found on the disabled list.  However, he was in the lineup often enough to put up statistics that carried him to the top of the RF class.

3) Héctor Vásquez 2056 - 2073
Vasquez was a part of the 2063-2067 Pennsylvania Freedom dynasty that won 4 championships in 5 years.  As such, Vasquez is one of 47 players that have 4 rings.  There are an additional 9 players with more championships than 4:

  • 6 - Issac Phillips 3B #17 – Won 5 championships for the Washington Griffins between 2018 and 2026.  Then was traded to the Louisiana Blaze and picked up one more in 2029.
  • 5 Carlos Horizon SP #30 – Championships with three different clubs: Kansas (2023), Mississippi (2030,2031,2033) and New Jersey (2042).
Plus the following players that won 5 championships for the Washington Griffins between 2018 and 2026.
  • J.L. Carrillo SP #138
  • Roy Ferrer RP
  • Truman Wagner
  • James Darby
  • Mikel Fleming
  • Joseph Albee
  • Edward Klein

4) Aquilino Castillanos * 2022 - 2043
Which is the greatest team in the history of the NPBL?  My pick would be Aquilino Castillanos’ 2034 Minnesota team.  They were the NPBL champion with the most regular season wins (118).  The 2019 Washington Griffins had the most wins (119), but they failed to win the championship.  The team with the best Pythagorean record (123-39) was the 2021 Washington Griffins (who did win the championship).
There have been 6 teams that have scored 1000 or more runs in a season

The best defensive teams (i.e. least runs allowed)

And the best run differential:

Run differential sees the same 2034 Minnesota team at the top of the list. 
On the flip side, the worst team in the history of the NPBL comes from the same year.  The 2034 Nevada team had the most losses in history (32-130, tied with 2028 Hawaii) and the worst run differential (-572).

5) Larry Sears * 2014 - 2035
Larry Sears was a top 5 pick (#3) in the 2014 draft by Marcus Shuter of the Utah Scorpions.  He was drafted just after Bill Worm (C #4) and Sanford Powers (3B #4).  He joins 19 total right fielders on the 75/75 list that were drafted in the top 5.  Right fielders on the list are, more than any other position needed to be drafted in the first round.  Of the list of 75, 48 were drafted in the first round.

As for drafting in the top 5, Marcus Shuter had moderate success.  In all, he had 7 draft picks in the top 5.  Two of the picks were big hits: Sears and Felton Olney (CF #3).  One other (Wenjie Laverick CF #44) exceeded expectations.  Three others were ranked, but did not meet expectations: Terry Macias (RF #62), Dacio Herrara (3B #57), and Herme Moreira (LF #73).  Finally, one player (Terry McClain) did not make the 75/75 list.  Under the quantifiable draft score system (explained in CF #6), Marcus Shuter has a score of 43.26 (for his top 5 picks alone).  Using this scoring system and ranking ONLY the top 5 picks, the top ranked drafter is easily John Heinz.

The following chart shows owners scores when separated by the various draft categories.  Doing so allows us to see exactly where many owners’ strengths and weaknesses lie with respect to drafting.  For example, it’s clear that Fred Kroner and John Yuda get the most out of their second round picks.  Those two are far, far ahead of the pack.  Meanwhile, that is a true weakness for me (Tim Veenstra).  It turns out that I’ve had only 5 second round draft picks that have exceeded expectations, and 56 picks that did not make a 75/75 list!


6) Cliff Butter * 2017 - 2035
Butter spent his career between 4 teams: Washington (2017-2020), Kansas (2021-2026), Idaho (2027) and Utah (2028-2035).  Butter would play LF, CF and RF.  But at each stop, and for nearly his entire career, Butter’s outfield mates were ranked in the 75/75 list, and oftentimes were Hall of Famers themselves.

What was the greatest outfield of all time?  Looking at the same measurements covered in the excerpt on the greatest infield of all time (SS #9): tvSTAT, WAR, YOPDI, 75/75 Rank:





What a close call!  It wasn’t until I color coded the table above that I made a decision and my vote goes for 2052 Virginia.  Having the three categories with a shade of green overcomes the one category that shows red.

7) Tony Bustamante * 2036 - 2061
Bustamante had the longest career in the history of the NPBL

A lot of Hall of Famers (*) on that list.  If you can find a guy who could play for 23+ years, you stand a good chance he’ll be a HoFer… Okay, I guess there may be a question on what’s the cause and what’s the effect on that one.   

8 ) Sully Sullivan * 2000 - 2009
Sullivan is a member of the “what if” club.  The what if club has four types of members:
1 - Players whose career was cut short by injuries
2 - Players who were already at an advanced age when the league began
3 - Players whose career never got started because they left baseball to pursue another career
4 – Players who were somehow stuck behind other players or stuck with an inactive owner

The last type likely doesn’t contain players that missed out on superstardom, but I feel for them nonetheless. 
Off the top of my head, a few players in each category:
1 – Ron Guinan, Daniel Peart, Freddy Valore, Dennis Boshears
2 – Jimmie Davis, Sully Sullivan
3 – Lee Manning, Bill George
4 – Lester Griffey

9) Clarence DiBenedetto 2005 - 2017
DiBennedetto’s career was spent between Massachusetts, Nevada and Kansas whereby he played for 3 owners that are now among the 50+ club – owners who have managed in the NPBL for 50 or more seasons.

Brian Cook will join this club at the conclusion of the 2076 season and Matt Yordy needs 6 more seasons to make the list.
In the past (CF #7, LF #8), I’ve considered which organization has the strongest ranking at the position.  I’m also interested to see which owner has the strongest set of right fielders.  First, to the question of organizational rankings…

When it comes to strength by owners, both Louisiana and Utah have split ownerships, so as far as total rank points, Rob Chapman tops the list.

Since different owners have managed for different lengths of seasons, the statistic to attempt to level the playing field would be Rank Points per Season.  Which brings an interesting result:




10) Francois Dussault * 2034 - 2050
Dussault is “Mr. Colonel” in the way that Ernie Banks is “Mr. Cub”.  Dussault was the one great star that the Kentucky franchise possessed during the organization spent in the bluegrass state.  Dussault won 3 Tyson Bacon Awards.  Two of those awards he won while only earning a WAR under 6.5.  There have been only 10 times that dubious feat has been accomplished.

That’s not to say that Dussault was the wrong choice.  I think it highlights the fact that, for whatever reason, Dussault does not score well in the WAR category.  He is not clearly any further behind any of the other candidates.  Take 2040 for example, the top FFL players were:

It’s also worth noting that the GEL appeared to have the bulk of the top players at the time.  The top candidates in 2040 (when Buzzy Stevens won the award) are more impressive than the FFL candidates.

2
League Press Releases / 75 for 75 - Center Field
« on: August 09, 2018, 07:31:43 AM »
1) Andy Ping * 2021 - 2036
Despite the fact that Andy Ping played his entire career with two other Hall of Famers (Donnie Bremer & Todd Neary), he never won an NPBL championship.  In fact, he never even played in the championship series.  This trio made the playoffs 9 times, but was always bounced before reaching the big stage.  As amazing as this seems, it is not unusual. 
The New Mexico Dukes of 2000-2020 had overlapping careers of four Hall of Famers: Tanner Chayse (2000-2017), Malachi Sain (2000-2010), Steven Williams (2002-2017) and John Baptista (2006-2020).  Yet the Dukes were only able to make the playoffs ONE time (2008), and in that single appearance they were knocked out in the LCS. 
In addition to that, the Michigan Militia of 2030 to 2050 also had 4 HoF with overlapping careers: Ed Hansen (2031-2048), Mark Sims (2037-2055), Rogelio Pessoa (2030-2043) and Keith Knapp (2030-2047).  Those players made the playoffs 11-13 times, but never reached the finals. 
Here is a list of all the Hall of Fame players that never played in a National Cup:
Player  Years     Team(s)      Years Reaching Playoffs         
Malachi Sain  2000 - 2010     NM      1         
Alex Garza  2000 - 2011     NV      1         
Samson Steele  2000 - 2011     KY/VA      2         
Tanner Chayse  2000 - 2017     NM      1         
Pete Kahle  2000 - 2019     KY/CT/ID/KS      4         
Rey Moncayo  2002 - 2014     MA/NV      0         
Steven Williams  2002 - 2017     NM      1         
Chris Lott  2005 - 2018     NV/PA      1         
John Baptista  2006 - 2020     NM      1         
Donnie Bremer  2017 - 2039     MD      9         
Todd Neary  2019 - 2037     MD      9         
Andy Ping  2021 - 2036     MD      9         
Carmelo Fons  2021 - 2036     PA/VA/ON/NJ      3         
Harry Andrews  2022 - 2038     NM      3         
Dale Couch  2026 - 2044     CO      3         
Todd Castillo  2028 - 2041     TX/CA/ID      8         
Clarence Smith  2030 - 2042     NY      6         
Rogelio Pessoa  2030 - 2043     MI      11         
Keith Knapp  2030 - 2047     MI      13         
Ed Hansen  2031 - 2048     MI      13         
Mark Sims  2037 - 2055     MI      12         
Specs Galloway  2048 - 2068     FL/UT      12         
Denny Willis  2049 - 2063     MI/IL/ID/FL      8         
Lewis Payne  2058 - 2070     HI      4         

2) Denny Willis * 2049 - 2063
Denny Wills had a tremendous power/speed combination as evidenced in the table below.
Player  Position     30/30 Seasons      40/40 Seasons         
Denny WillisCF84
Andy PingCF81
Tanner ChayseSS51
Christopher CorteseCF51
Hal Rehm1B50
Rudy LareauSS50
Jack Hesse2B41
Héctor VásquezRF40
Alex CabezasRF40
Felipe Gonzáles1B32
Dale CouchLF30
Leonardo SuárezLF30
Grubby ThompsonCF20
Cyril Foland2B20
Santo TedescoSS20
Skipper CageLF20
Oscar OakleyLF20
Bill LongLF20
Alex GarzaCF20
Rob DorseyCF20
Tim Martin2B11
Sanford Powers3B11
Stacey Tatham Jr.1B10
Rafael Cuellar1B10
Lane Commons2B10
Bob Medforth2B10
Tyson Bacon3B10
Jose Chavero3B10
Carlos Otero3B10
Jing-bo Kan3B10
Evan Adams3B10
Gandalf GreyhemeSS10
Mark DeliaSS10
Alejandro ReyesSS10
Spooner ShenkSS10
Judge JudyLF10
Steve MurrayLF10
John FleuryLF10
Roberto GarcíaLF10
Ewing WashingtonLF10
Kevin SarrattLF10
Mike CranwellLF10
Greg HoltCF10
Masafumi NishidaCF10
Steven HugganCF10
Jerry BakerCF10
Joe WilsonCF10
Clarence DiBenedettoRF10
Eric ClineRF10
Jess VillalobosRF10
Ignacio GarcíaRF10
Ramón BarrónRF10
Roberto SalazarRF10
Donald FickRF10
Sixto SolisRF10

3) Felton Olney * 2013 - 2029
In 2013, Felton Olney was the #2 overall draft choice.  He went on to win the Bick Horizon (Rookie of the Year) Award in the GEL that same year (2013).  Which of these two is more valuable?  Said another way: If your team was to be given either the Bick Award winner or the 1.02 draft slot, which would you choose?
The club of players that have won the Bick include some of the greatest of all-time: Walt Geldorf, Buzzy Stevens, Andy Dwyer, Santo Tedesco, Michael Koo Jr… but it also includes a fair number of players in which winning the Bick was the career highlight.  In fact, of the 140 players that won a Bick (in either league) between 2001 and 2070, 60 of those players did not make a 75 for 75 list.  Basically, that means that owning a Bick Award means you have a little better than a 50/50 chance of having an above-average career.
The average rank points for Bick winners is 27.21.  Recall that rank points is 76-Rank where rank is where the player was ranked on the 75 for 75 list, except for starting pitchers where rank points is (301-Rank)/4 (rounded up).  Knowing this average rank points value allows us to compare to the value of a draft slot (covered in LF Dale Couch #4).  Below is the table of draft slot values for the top 10:
Draft Position  Expected Rank Points     
1.0135.05
1.0228.69
1.0324.11
1.0420.69
1.0518.04
1.0615.94
1.0714.24
1.0812.83
1.0911.65
1.1010.65
Therefore, it is slightly more preferable to own the 1.02 draft slot than it is to own the Bick Award winner.


3
Free Agent/NYSL Claims / MA claims P Jesse Shaw
« on: July 25, 2018, 02:47:17 PM »
To AAA please

4
League Press Releases / 75 for 75 - Left Fielders
« on: July 24, 2018, 10:40:04 AM »
1) Summer Nelson * 2000 - 2021
Players who are ranked #1 at their position:
Pos  PlayerNumber of times winning the Bacon Award
Jocko Garcia4
1B  Walt Geldorf8
2B  Bob Griffith3
3B  Buzzy Stevens4
SS  Tanner Chayse4
LF  Summer Nelson0
It probably won’t spoil anything to declare that the top ranked CF and top ranked RF both won multiple Bacons as well.
Summer Nelson consistently put up excellent stats year after year, but never had a truly superb year which allowed him to take home the Bacon. It’s hard to argue that there was any year that Nelson should have won.  His best chance may have been in 2015, but instead the award went to his teammate Christopher Stormes:
Player - Year  Avg     HR      RBI          R      BB      K      SB      OBP         SLG      OPS      WAR      tvSTAT     
Christopher Stormes 2015.2824613198561150.348.5000.8488.17.07
Summer Nelson 2015.3303711597455311.386.5200.9068.28.18

2) Anthony Beckford * 2000 - 2013
Beckford is one of those guys to which I cannot associate with a particular team.  I suppose he should be considered a NY Baron, since he spent the most years there, but the years spent in the Big Apple were the twilight of his career.  His best years were in Colorado or Mississippi.
PlayerNumber of teams played for
Leonardo de la Rosa6
Grady McDonaghey5
Keith Tracey5
Walt Geldof4
Anthony Beckford4
Matt McQuade4
Grubby Thompson4
Cliff Butter4
Hank Carruthers4
Hongwu Zou4
Jerry Jorge4
Leo Flynn4
Karl Immell4
Andrew Wilson4
John Fleury4
Jorge Arreola4
Carlos Fimenez4
Joe Colin4
Christopher Delaney4
Lucio Costello4
Harvey Thornton4

Although I cannot associate a team to Beckford, Beckford does have one of the strongest associations to an MLB player for me: Ted Williams, probably because Beckford is the last (and only) NPBL player to hit over .400 in a season.  Williams was a better overall player than Beckford (more home runs and walks and less strikeouts), but Beckford was every bit the pure hitter that Williams was.
Beckford’s career batting average of .354 is tops in history of the league… by a wide margin.  The next closest retired player is Hector Dominez (.335), followed by Tanner Chayse (.334).  Of the major batting statistics, there are three career records that have a wide gap between #1 and #2:
Batting Average
1 – Anthony Beckford .354
2 – Hector Dominez .335
3 – Tanner Chayse .334
Total Bases
1 – Walt Geldorf 6839
2 – Mark Sims 6178
3 – Buzzy Stevens 6172
Career WAR
1 – Buzzy Stevens 171.8
2 – Tanner Chayse 146.2
3 – Tyson Bacon 145.4
Classifying these statistics as “unbreakable” records may be a bit of a stretch, but I will say that I’ll be surprised to see any of them go down.

3) Ethan Teller * 2020 - 2038
I found this on an old, old thread entitled “What to Watch for in 2027”:

- Is there a more anonymous super-star than Ethan Teller?
 
Ethan Teller bears a lot of similarities with Summer Nelson.  Both are right handed hitting outfielders who hit for good average and a lot of power.  Both had consistently excellent stats year after year, but never won a Bacon Award.  Both spent their careers with three different teams and their careers followed similar paths: traded from their initial team after 3-4 years, won multiple championships in their most memorable years with their second team, and finally traded to a third team looking for some veteran leadership to end their careers.

4) Dale Couch * 2026 - 2044
Dale Couch is one of three Hall of Famers to be drafted in the 2.02 draft slot.  The others were Chad Schmidt and Keith Knapp.  There are 5 additional players to make the 75 for 75 list that were drafted in the 2.02 slot:
2B Hamilton Bridges #46
3B Manuell Selas #48
SS Roberto Echegaray #29
CF Soze Liao
RF James Brewster

What is the value of a draft position?  In order to answer this question, I added up the “rank points” for each draft slot.  Rank points is simply 76-the players 75 for 75 ranking.
After I did this calculation, I realized a problem with the calculation: starting pitchers.  Namely, it’s difficult for a starting pitcher to make the 75/75 list.  In order to equal the playing field, I knew I needed to make some sort of an adjustment.  What I did is I looked at the HoF members.  There currently 146 players in the Hall.  With the exception of starting pitching, the distribution by position is roughly equal:
PositionHall of Fame Members
Catcher9
First Baseman14
Second Baseman12
Third Baseman10
Shortstops12
Left Field12
Center Field10
Right Field14
Relief Pitcher6
This averages out to 11 players per position.  As for starting pitchers, there are 47 in the Hall.  Therefore I figured that the equivalent of a different position’s top 75 players is roughly about four times for starting pitchers.  So for starting pitchers, I used the 75/75 rankings going all the way up to #300.  The ranking points then became 301-Rank / 4 (rounded up).  In this way, the top 4 pitchers all receive 75 ranking points, and pitchers 5-8 receive 74 points, and so on.
Totaling up the points by draft slot yields the results shown in the graph below

The dotted curve represents a formulaic “curve of best fit”.  The formula works out so that the draft slot of 2.02 where Dale Couch was drafted has a Rank Points total of 219.85.  Since there have been 75 amateur drafts (not including the inaugural draft), that means the expected average for this draft slot is 2.93 – which equates to a player who is ranked #73.  In other words, having the draft slot of 2.02 should, on the average, give you a player who would be ranked #73 on the 75/75 list (or a starting pitcher ranked 288-291).  Anything less than that would have to be considered a disappointment.
What we’ve seen in reality is that the 2.02 slot has performed better than the expected (aided by the HoF players like Couch pulling the average).  The total rank points is 384, which connects to a player ranked #71.  That may seem like a small difference, but in this context it is a fairly significant difference.
 
5) Pete Kahle * 2000 - 2019
Pete Kahle was the first NPBL’er to reach 600 career home runs.  He retired with 605 home runs.  Since his retirement, he’s been passed by on the leaderboard by 5 players and will soon be passed by another.  The NPBL 600 home run club (7 players):
PlayerPosition RankHome Runs
Walt Geldorf1B #1752
Mark Sims1B #2739
Dale CouchLF #4681
Tony BustamanteRF674
Buzzy Stevens3B #1635
Pete KahleLF #5605
Bob Griffith (active)2B #1604
For comparison, here is the MLB 600 home run club (9 players):
PlayerPositionHome Runs
Barry BondsLF762
Hank AaronRF755
Babe RuthRF714
Alex RodriguezSS696
Willie MaysCF660
Ken Griffey JrCF630
Albert Pujols (active)1B630
Jim Thome1B612
Sammy SosaRF609

A few comparisons between the two groups that I find interesting:
NPBLNPBL AverageStatisticMLB AverageMLB
21.4Seasons21.5
X2903Games2755
X10,772At-Bats9,908
X.307Batting Average.298
X2024RBI1963
1281Walks1565X
X1723Strikeouts1766
105Stolen Bases232X

5
NPBL Hall of Fame / 2076 Ballot Discussion
« on: July 18, 2018, 08:23:02 AM »
I checked where each of the players was ranked in my 75 for 75 rankings.  In doing so, I realize that my ranking method for RP isn't at all where I'd like it to be.  I might need to re-do some things before I publish it.  Nevertheless, as it is right now, here are the rankings of the players on the ballot:

Jerry Baker - CF #33
Sesto Benetti - 2B #17
Jean-Francois Bois - C #37
Kermit Byndloss - CF #166
Mario Cabrera - CF #96
Miguel Calderon - CF #31
Bob Crosby - SS #43
Maximo Cruz - C #15
Antonio Garcia - 3B #35
Corey Miller - C #33
Cody Morris - RF #29
Armando Pagan - CF #46
Luis Perez - 1B #88
Joe Powell - SS #35
Juan Ramirez - 2B #64
Pedro Rivera - SS #58
Carlos Robles - RF #220
Jose Rodriguez - 3B #89
Marcos Rodriguez - C #42
Richard Samuels - CF #29
Ron Seldon - 2B #19
Javier Silva - 3B #15
Stacey Tatham Jr - 1B #29
Daniel Vazquez - 2B #37
Victor Wilkerson - RF #15
Bill Young - 3B #41

Barrel Andrews - SP #120
Doug Bean - SP #282
Roger Berry - RP #4
Old Nick Bradley - SP #824
Arnold Everall - RP #5
Jerome Link - SP #220
Ramon Lopez - RP #46
Chadwick McCall - SP #78
Javier Mediavilla - SP #152
Jim Page - SP #422
Jesus Ramirez - RP #7
William Vaughan - SP #188

I think the following players deserve consideration:
C Maximo Cruz (#15) - 9 of the top 12 ranked catchers are in the hall.  Another 2 of the top 12 are current players.  The last player (Andrew Jones) I think might be in the missing years.  Nobody outside of the top 12 is in the Hall.  Cruz is ranked #15, so he's right there on the edge.  Certainly deserves a very close look.
1B Stacey Tatham (#29) - 1B is a competitive position.  There are 1B ranked higher that are in the Hall (Paul Sidgwick).  Tatham has 2 Bacon Awards to his name (2049, 2052)
2B Sesto Benetti (#17) & Ron Seldon (#19).  Like C Cruz, they are ranked right on the edge of HoF and non-HoF.  They rank right behind HoFers Mark Stone (#15) and Mason Highsmith(#16) and ahead of Frank Gillbard (#20).
3B Javier Silva (#15) - Yet another player ranked right on that edge.  Ranks behind HoF Grady McDonaghey (#13) and Mitsuoki Rin (#14) and ahead of Issac Phillips (#17) and Carmelo Fons (#22).
SS Joe Powell (#35), Bob Crosby (#43) and Pedro Rivera (#58).  The line of SS in the HoF vs out of the HoF is also somewhere around 20ish.  So these guys are outside, but a case could be made.  There are some "outlier", higher ranked players that are in the HoF (like 2B Zachary Matthews & SS Luis Ortiz) due to great defense or other reasons.  And the 75/75 ranking is NOT the end all and be all measurement. 
CF Richard Samuels (#29), Miguel Calderon (#31), Jerry Baker (#33) & Armando Pagan (#46).  See my comments about the shortstops on the ballot.  The line for CF is also somewhere around 20ish.
RF Victor Wilkerson (#15).  Without revealing too much of my RF rankings, which haven't been published just yet, I'll say that Wilkerson is close to, but inside of the line where most of the HoF RF reside.  He is a fringe case that I'll likely be voting in favor of this time around.
RF Cody Morris (#29).  A little outside of the line, but maybe there is a case to be made?
SP Chadwick McCall (#78).  It says something about how competitive the SP market is, but the line for HoF starting pitchers is right around 75.
RP Roger Berry (#4), Arnold Everall (#5) and Jesus Ramirez (#7).  As I said earlier, I've found I don't like the rankings of the RP as I've currently got them and these rankings may change before I get to publishing the RP rankings.  But one way or the other, these are some of the better RP in the history.  The question is, how much value does a RP have?  There are currently only 6 RP in the HoF (John Baptista, Diego Castillo, Tyler Lattimore, Arron Ledford, Deangelo Ramos & Eneas Reigosa)

6
League Press Releases / 75 for 75 - Shortstops
« on: July 16, 2018, 03:50:04 PM »
1) Tanner Chayse * 2000 - 2017
As near as I can figure, these were each team’s created superstar at the inception of the league
DC – SP Skip Burns
California – 3B Tyson Bacon * (#2)
Colorado – LF Summer Nelson *
Connecticut – SS Gandalf Greyhemme * (#5)
Florida – SS Matt McQuade * (#2)
Illinois - ?
Kansas – SP Hoya Jung
Kentucky – LF Pete Kahle *
Louisiana – SP Scott Bartell *
Maryland – SS Norman Bates (#45)
Massachusetts – 3B (SS) Matthew Maglio (NR)
Minnesota – 2B Adam Anderson * (#11)
Mississippi – SP Ryan Turner *
Montana - 2B Brian Marshall * (#4)
Nevada – SS Mark Delia * (#8)
New Mexico – SS Tanner Chayse * (#1)
New York – C Christopher Ferrante * (#3)
North Carolina – SS Michael Koo Jr * (#6)
Oregon – SP Hugh Hoots (Originally named Chris Muller)
Pennsylvania – CF J.D. Arney
Tennessee – SP JJ Cobb
Texas – SP – Dmitrij Mitskevich
Washington – SS Jason Kroner * (#14)
Wisconsin – 2B (SS) Seamus O’Dule * (#3)

Of the 23 known players on this list, 15 turned out to be Hall of Famers.  Eighteen of them worked their way onto the 75 for 75 list for their position.  The five players who didn’t make a 75 for 75 list:
SP Skip Burns – Burns was a solid pitcher, having pitched in the majors for 20 years.  He would be ranked #131 among starting pitchers.  Considering that starting pitcher has the most competition for the 75 for 75, Burns is actually on par with position players like JD Arney and Norman Bates.  That is, quality players that did not make the Hall of Fame.
SP Hoya Jung – Catobase shows that Hoya Jung suffered a fairly major ratings drop in 2005 at the age of 24.  Perhaps it was injury related?
3B Matthew Maglio – His development seemed to hit a snag.  He was traded to Wisconsin (just before I took over the team) and he did have 10+ productive years for the Lumberjacks.   They just were not special.
SP Hugh Hoots – Similar to Skip Burns.  He was an excellent starter for several different organizations.  He would be ranked #105 among starting pitchers – which is really good, just not Hall of Fame material.
SP Dmitrij Mitskevich – Was on pace to become a Hall of Famer, but he suffered a career ending injury in 2006 at the age of 24.
The created players by position:
C – 1
2B – 2
3B – 1
SS – 9 (includes 2 players created as SS, but shifted positions)
OF – 3
SP - 7

2) Matt McQuade * 2003 - 2020
One of only three players to steal 100 bases in a season.  All three are shortstops.
Is the stolen base coming back into fashion?  The average number of stolen bases per season by decade is shown in the table below.
DecadeAvg SB per year
2000s2874
2010s2860
2020s3158
2030s2791
2040s1972
2050s2425
2060s2281
2070s2757
While the total number of stolen bases appears to be on the rebound, what is also interesting to note is the way the stolen bases are being dispersed.  In the first three decades, there was more of a polarizing “players who stole bases” and “players who did not”.  The table below shows the average number of 50+ stolen base seasons per decade.
DecadeAvg Number of 50+ SB seasons
2000s8.6
2010s9.8
2020s9.3
2030s6.7
2040s2.7
2050s2.1
2060s2.9
2070s4.4
Therefore, when one looks at the stolen base records both by season and career totals, the lists are dominated by players from the first three decades.
In addition to being one of the most proficient base stealers, Matt McQuade was also among the most efficient.  He was successful on 81.4% of his attempts.  The most efficient was Alfonso Camino with 89.1% (minimum 300 attempts).  In fact, he leads this category by a wide margin.
PlayerCareer SB%
Alfonso Camino89.1%
Mike Doctor84.7%
Greg Holt84.4%
Abe Seemann84.3%
Blair Payton84.2%


3) Santo Tedesco * 2019 - 2042
Speaking of stolen bases… during the first half of career, Santo Tedesco averaged stolen base every 6 games (about 27 stolen bases a season).  Over the second half of his career, Tedesco would average only a stolen base every 23 games (about 7 stolen bases a season).  It appears something suddenly zapped him of his speed around 2029.  Nevertheless, he remained a top shortstop for another 10 years after that. 
PlayerNumber of Years as the League’s Top SS
Santo Tedesco11
Tanner Chayse9
Kevin Stover7
Miguel Carrasco6
Rudy Lareau5
Bob Sloan 5
Juan Vidro 5
Francisco Magana 4
Arturo Esquiuel 4
Ramiro Rivera 4
Matt McQuade2
Flyswatter Pentecost2
Rafael Marrero2
Michael Koo Jr1
Gandalf Greyheme1
Ángel Román1
Johnny Kapaun1
Bryan Lawrence1
Will Dixon1
Joe Powell1
Pedro Rivera1
António Ortíz1
Manuel Montaño1



4) Miguel Carrasco * 2032 - 2056
Player / YearTop WAR season to NOT win Bacon
Miguel Carrasco 204012.2
Matt McQuade 201511.4
Matt McQuade 200711.3
Francisco Magana 200111.0
Lewis Payne 206111.0
Tomas Chavez 203910.9
Tomas Chavez 204110.9
Buzzy Stevens 203110.9
Tanner Chayse 201010.8
In 2040, Carrasco was playing for Texas in the GEL.  The GEL Bacon Award winner that year was Buzzy Stevens of Minnesota – who had a 12.3 WAR.  The Bacon Award went to the rightful owner, it’s just that Carrasco had the misfortune of playing in the same league as Stevens.  The FFL Bacon Winner in 2040 was Francois Dussault with a WAR of 6.4.

5) Gandalf Greyheme * 2003 - 2020
Greyheme played for some of the great New York teams of the first two decades.  The Barons had a bit of a reputation in those early days for choking in the playoffs.  For a stretch of nine years, 2003 to 2011, the Barons averaged 109 wins a season and yet only won one NPBL title (2008).  The “eyeball test” says that the Barons ought to have been able to win more championships than 1 during that era, but how many should they have won?
There have been 64 seasons where a team has won 109 games or more.  In 16 of those season (25%), the team won the championship.  If the Barons had had exactly 109 wins each season for each of those 9 years, the math says they ought to have won 2.25 championships.  I thought maybe I could develop something perhaps a little more precise. 
WinsTimes AchievedChampionsPercent
100 or more2143918.22%
101 or more1883619.15%
102 or more1703420.00%
103 or more1493221.48%
104 or more1323022.73%
105 or more1182319.49%
106 or more1002020.00%
107 or more831720.48%
108 or more721622.22%
109 or more641625.00%
110 or more521325.00%
111 or more431125.58%
112 or more34823.53%
113 or more29827.59%
The math starts to get a little funny with teams that have won 114+ games simply because the frequency isn’t enough.  Using some of the data from the table above and a little bit of my own discernment, I worked out a formula which equates to the graph shown below.

A look then at the New York Barons from 2003 to 2011:
YearWinsPercent
200310214.68%
2004978.98%
200510925.18%
200611128.72%
200711740.78%
200811434.48%
200910518.82%
201011740.78%
201111026.92%
The sum total of the percentages is 239.34%.  Which means mathematically, the Barons ought to have won 2.39 championships during this period.
Using this method over the history of the NPBL for each franchise:
FranchiseMathematical TitlesActual Titles
Maryland1.841
Massachusetts4.033
New Jersey3.241
Ohio0.520
New York3.191
Pennsylvania3.018
Rhode Island0.640
Florida1.223
Louisiana2.882
Mississippi5.218
Kansas 2.01.782
Georgia0.932
North Carolina2.972
Tennessee0.962
Virginia5.623
Illinois4.955
Kansas 1.01.122
Minnesota3.122
New Mexico1.811
Michigan1.340
Texas0.622
Wisconsin2.973
California1.161
Colorado3.132
Idaho3.945
Nevada2.691
Hawaii0.482
Utah3.163
Washington6.459

7
Free Agent/NYSL Claims / Massachusetts signs Máximo Vega
« on: July 09, 2018, 09:36:43 AM »
From NYSL.  Please assign to A

8
Trades / Massachusetts - Virginia
« on: July 09, 2018, 07:49:23 AM »
Massachusetts sends:
2077 First round pick
2077 Fourth round pick
P Gilbert Newcomb (A)
P Frank Williams (A)
SS David Russell (A)

Virginia sends:
P Jesse Morris
IF Jonathan Robinson
OF Tim White

Good luck with the rebuild yuda.

Chappy, I'll post some instructions in the Sim Instructions thread.

9
League Press Releases / 75 for 75 - Third Basemen
« on: July 05, 2018, 12:48:45 PM »
1) Buzzy Stevens * 2028 - 2046
Buzzy Stevens and Tyson Bacon may rank as the best 2 position players of all time.  They are certainly two of the top five.  Determining the better of the two is difficult.  Buzzy Stevens ranks as the best third baseman in the league from 2030 through 2045 – an incredible 16 straight years.  Not to be outdone, Tyson Bacon was the top third baseman from 2001 through 2016 – also 16 straight years.  The next closest to this record is Bob Griffith with 11 straight years.  In the end, what drives Stevens ahead of Bacon is that his power numbers and OPS are impressive even beyond Tyson Bacon’s stolen bases.  (See table below). 
Player - Year  Avg     HR      RBI          R      BB      K      SB      OBP         SLG      OPS      WAR      tvSTAT     
Buzzy Stevens 2035.35646131144134564.482.6781.1612.111.56
Buzzy Stevens 2031.34347133139133532.471.6631.13410.911.02
Buzzy Stevens 2034.3755116013796538.464.7281.19212.810.88
Buzzy Stevens 2036.28626126105114710.406.4760.8827.110.09
Buzzy Stevens 2032.31333109138124564.441.5601.0018.69.95
Tyson Bacon 2015.3302899126742474.411.5180.9299.29.14
Tyson Bacon 2010.3332693101692251.413.5370.959.58.84
Tyson Bacon 2011.328268383541640.400.5420.9427.38.8
Tyson Bacon 2014.3263597112673559.400.5590.9599.38.79
Tyson Bacon 2012.3302378100672463.406.5010.9078.28.7
                                    


2) Tyson Bacon * 2000 - 2022
One of the things I find fascinating about Tyson Bacon is his development as far as avoiding the strikeouts.  Early in his career, with California, Bacon would strike out about 20% of his plate appearances.  Right about the time he was traded to Colorado, his strikeouts per PA suddenly dropped down to about 5%.  He went from striking out over 100 times a year to merely 25.  I’d say it was a Colorado coaching advantage, but the other Ram batters of the era, Christopher Cortese, Hal Rehm, Antony Kissel, Oscar Oakley, would regularly strikeout 100 to 150 times each year.

3) Jose Chavero * 2022 - 2041
After selecting Chavero with the 7th overall pick in the 2021 draft, Chavero had 8 outstanding years for the Illinois Jethawks – including a Bacon Award in 2028 and two titles for the Jethawks in 2027 and 2028.  In 2031, at the age of 29, Chavero suffered a devastating back injury that sidelined him for nine months.  The Jethawks, seeking a rebuild, traded to Chavero to Louisiana in a controversial trade.  Chavero would bounce back to win another Bacon Award in 2033 (this time in a Blaze uniform) and lead Louisiana to the playoffs for five straight years before being traded off to Idaho to finish his career.  The number of wins for Chavero’s teams:
2022 (IL) - 72
2023 (IL) – 84
2024 (IL) – 96
2025 (IL) – 94
2026 (IL) – 94
2027 (IL) – 105
2028 (IL) – 114
2029 (IL) – 103
2030 (IL) – 107
2031 (LA) – 91
2032 (LA) – 112
2033 (LA) – 110
2034 (LA) – 100
2035 (LA) – 93
2036 (ID) – 105
2037 (ID) – 91
2038 (ID) – 72
2039 (ID) – 94
2040 (ID) – 88
Which averages to 96 wins a season.  Only 2 losing seasons out of 19.  I don’t know if that’s a record, but it’s got to be pretty close.

The Louisiana all-time team (player must play at least parts of 3 seasons for the Blaze to qualify):
C – Andrew Kegler (rank #9)
1B – Hank Carruthers (11)
2B – Blinky Crouch (7)
3B – Jose Chavero (3)
SS – Francisco Magana (27)
LF – Toshinobu Kashiwagi (18)
CF – Juan Cruz (56)
RF – Jeffrey Langston (13)
SP – Ralph Ives (28)
RP – Ben Stewart (16)

4) Sanford Powers * 2014 - 2032
Earlier (1B #6) I looked at the biggest fluke season.  Looking over the year-by-year career of Sanford Powers, there is a case to be made for the 2nd overall pick in 2014.  Actually, Powers does not enter the conversation for a single fluke season, but for a two year span, 2024 and 2025 are definitive outliers.  For whatever reason, Powers suddenly and unexpectedly increased nearly every statistical category in those two years and pocketed the Bacon Award in both years.  Then in 2026, Powers settled back into this normal self – which was undoubtedly impressive, but not other-worldly.

5) Cristián Morales 2050 - 2067
Cristian Morales was selected fifth overall in the 2047 draft.  The 2047 was one of the deepest of all-time, with 14 players from the draft class making the top 75 list and 3 current Hall of Famers (Stone Nichols 1.02, Specs Galloway 1.17, & Mitsuoki Rin 1.21).  Is it the best draft class?  Probably not, but as with most things, it depends on how you want to measure it.
Draft ClassTop 75 playersHall of Fame playersHoFers
2040241Walt Geldorf (1.01)
2031185Eddie Henderson (1.03), Daniel Metcalf (1.04), Ed Hansen (1.05), Greyson Krueger (1.11), Matt Carter (1.23)
2033163Francois Dussault (1.02), Tony Bustamante (1.05), Ricardo Acevedo (1.08)
2041160None
2018144Paul Hall (1.01), Roderigo Pequero (1.04), Paul Sidgwick (1.06), Ralph Ives (2.10)
2020144Toshinobu Kashiwagi (1.01), Ethan Teller (1.03), Bill Hawking (1.05), Bill Dickie (2.06)
2047143Stone Nichols (1.02), Specs Galloway (1.17), Mitsuoki Rin (1.21)

6) Christopher Stormes * 2006 - 2023
The Tennessee Hounds All-Time Team:
C – Jocko Garcia (Rank #1)
1B – Jacinto Leon (14)
2B – Ron Seldon (18)
3B – Christopher Stormes (6)
SS – Johnny Kapaun (18)
LF – Jerry Jorge (19)
CF - Wenjie Laverick (44)
RF – Luis Cordova (11)
SP – JJ Cobb (74)
RP – Arron Ledford (25)

7) Alex Orati 2042 - 2060
Orati was the first overall pick in 2042.  He is one of only three third baseman to be drafted #1 overall.  The others being Buzzy Stevens (ranked #1) in 2028 and Dacio Herrara (#57) in 2025. However, all of the top 10 third baseman were drafted in the first round (except Tyson Bacon who was created).  In fact, you have to go down to player #18 Sergio Lopez to find a player that was NOT drafted in the first round.  Player #25 Alex Orozco was an undrafted free agent who was scooped up by Hawaii.  In all there are thirteen top 75 players that were undrafted free agents. 
RankPosPlayer
61BAngel Martinez *
14LFBubba Godwin
253BAlex Orozco
272BElmer Green
362BJonathan Robinson
383BJonathan Darby
48RPTyler Lattimore *
51SSBill Gilbert
58RPAlfonso Font
64CFNathaniel Keevil
66RPEd Cook
73SSTed Riley
752BBill Hancock

8 ) Donnie Bremer * 2017 - 2039
Top 75 players who have played 23 years or more and played for a single team
PlayerYearsYearsTeam
Carlos Garcia2039-206224North Carolina
Donnie Bremer2017-203923Maryland
Peter Potter2037-205923Florida
Jarrod Perkins2042-206423California
Luis Ortiz2015-203723Wisconsin
Juan Garcia2047-206923Virginia
Arron Ledford Jr2041-206323Louisiana
David Blumberg2035-205723North Carolina

9) Carlos Otero 2063 - 2075
Active All-Team:
PosRankPlayerTeam
C1 Jocko García Tennessee Hounds
1B4 Sonny Miller Massachusetts Patriots
2B1 Bob Griffith Georgia Generals
3B9Carlos OteroTennessee Hounds
SS? Ramiro Rivera California Lions
LF? Bill Barry Wisconsin Lumberjacks
CF? Fred Hoffman Utah Scorpions
RF? Robert Alarron Maryland Admirals
SP? Andy Dwyer Pennsylvania Freedom
RP? Camila Mont Maryland Admirals

10) Taylor Dye 2036 - 2055
In 2042, the NPBL contracted by 4 teams with New York, Texas, Rhode Island and Kansas going extinct.  The players of these organizations were placed into a contraction draft.  Taylor Dye was 29 years old and had just finished his 7th straight year of hitting over .300 with the New York Barons.  The Florida Bluefish made Dye the 17th overall player taken in that draft.  In all there were 13 position players taken in the first round of the contraction draft.
Player Draft Position Team Player Performance after 2042
RF Roberto Salazar 1.01KansasImmediately traded to Washington.  Salazar had about 5 decent years, three of which were among the top 10 for right fielders for the year.  Short career.  Had to be considered a disappointment given his draft position and the promise he seemed to have.
RF Gonzalo Molina1.03Pennsylvania12 years among the top 10 for right fielders, but only once was he better than 4th at his position.  A solid all-star type player, but no hall of famer. 
SS Miguel Carrasco 1.07MarylandAlthough Carrasco’s best years were prior to 2043.  He still contributed eight top 10 SS seasons for the Admirals including 2 years and the best shortstop in the league. 
SS James Shields 1.09Tennessee12 years as a “hold down the fort” type of player for the Hounds.
RF Kyle Winfield 1.10IdahoAfter a couple of very promising seasons to begin his Spuds career, Winfield fought for playing time for the remainder of his career.
CF Kazunori Sato 1.12UtahEither he changed his name, or he never made the big league.
C Glenn Steger 1.13KentuckyOne of the most recognizable names in the pool, Steger was already 37 years old at the time of the contraction draft.  Never a star during his Kentucky years.  Steger was a contributor for a couple years and a hanger-onner for another two.
RF Ewing Washington 1.15OhioHit some home runs, but struggled everywhere else.  A part-time player at best.
RF Nelson Galvan 1.16HawaiiHis career started well, but de-railed quickly.
3B Taylor Dye 1.17Florida8 years among the top 10 at his position after arriving in Florida.  Dye’s best years proved to be back in New York, but he was nonetheless a steady performer for the Bluefish.
CF Carlos Solis 1.19North CarolinaSolis was a regular in the lineup for the Clippers for most the next thirteen years.  However, as a starter, he was below average.
1B Matt Lancaster1.20NevadaImmediately traded to Kansas (although he would return to Nevada later in his career).  His entire career came after the contraction draft and Lancaster is the 40th ranked 1B.  Turned out to be one of the top players in the draft.
SS Barrett Rowe 1.21VirginiaAnother one of the top players in the draft.  He had 10 years as one of the top shortstops in the league.

With hindsight, I think the best position players, given what they had to contribute after 2042, were
1   Miguel Carrasco
2   Barrett Rowe
3   Gonzalo Molina
4   Taylor Dye
5   Matt Lancaster

10
League Press Releases / 75 for 75 - Second Basemen
« on: June 28, 2018, 12:44:11 PM »
1) Bob Griffith 2055 - 2075
Bob Griffith vs Lane Commons is a tough call.  Commons’ best five seasons (see table below) rank a tiny bit higher than Griffith – due to keeping the strikeouts down.  However, Griffith ranks ahead of Commons due to the fact that he has had a longer and better career (which is still going) and the fact that Griffith outshines his contemporaries at second base, while Commons had many other great second basemen in his day.  Although winning the Bacon Award is not a consideration in the rankings, the fact that Griffith has won the award three times (compared to none for Commons) makes the ranking more palatable as well.
Player - Year  Avg     HR      RBI          R      BB      K      SB      OBP         SLG      OPS      WAR      tvSTAT     
Bob Griffith 2070.3164312712767667.395.5130.908109.78
Bob Griffith 2069.3314397104654311.411.5660.9779.99.06
Bob Griffith 2065.3304214311846548.385.5240.9098.28.64
Bob Griffith 2064.3333511597445514.388.5120.97.98.55
Bob Griffith 2063.32836107101534212.386.4980.8847.98.43
Lane Commons 2016.3232790111731763.402.4720.8749.59.5
Lane Commons 2015.2962773119843267.385.4580.8439.19
Lane Commons 2006.3481892116633862.414.5180.9329.48.82
Lane Commons 2014.3103076123752976.390.4710.861108.81
Lane Commons 2017.306127185692252.386.4110.7977.38.76

2) Lane Commons * 2003 - 2017
The table above (under #1 Bob Griffith) shows that 4 out of Lane Commons’ 5 best seasons occurred between 2014 and 2017.  In those seasons, Lane Commons was 35 to 38 years old.  In 2017, at the age of 38, Commons was the best second baseman in the NPBL.  And then he retired.  I guess he wanted to go out on top?
Best final season by a positional player:
Player - Year  Avg     HR      RBI          R      BB      K      SB      OBP         SLG      OPS      WAR      tvSTAT     
RF Ron Guinan 2031.3484211511190423.471.6091.08910.23
2B Lane Commons 2017.306127185692252.386.4110.7977.38.76
SS Matt McQuade 2020.34588079525276.402.4310.8337.16.41
2B Joseph Flores 2033.3281510710884639.413.4990.9126.76.17
3B Thomas Walker 2013.26729907277171.364.4340.7986.67.27
3B Grady McDonaghey 2020.306209888431011.359.4570.8165.85.86

3) Seamus O'Dule * 2000 - 2021
Seamus O’Dule would be interesting to observe in real life.  O’Dule hit .320 in his sleep with a lot power.  I wonder where he got the power from with his 5’6” 185 pound frame?  Although his nickname was “waterbug”, he wasn’t much for stealing bases.  With a name like Seamus O’Dule, you’d be correct if you guessed that he was Irish.  I picture him with bright red hair, a bushy beard and mustache and a green cap – but then maybe I’m influenced by the logo of the team he played for (Wisconsin).

4) Brian Marshall * 2000 - 2018
What was the greatest infield in the history of the NPBL (Part 1)? 
The 2016 Mississippi Ravens infield has an argument to this claim.  The infield has the highest total tvSTAT of any:
2016 Mississippi Ravens
PlayertvSTAT
1B Nobukazu Takemura4.71
2B Brian Marshall5.72
3B Christopher Stormes8.15
SS Matt McQuade9.99
Total28.57
2035 Mississippi Ravens
PlayertvSTAT
1B Mack Outlaw7.34
2B Mark Stone6.23
3B Vicente Sesena4.53
SS Santo Tedesco8.55
Total26.65
2005 New York Barons
PlayertvSTAT
1B Aragorn King7.41
2B John Honeycutt4.04
3B Rodolfo Lopez5.22
SS Gandalf Greyhemme8.61
Total25.28
However, as mentioned before, tvSTAT is an effective stat to help consider a player’s career, but if one is considering a year in isolation, it may not be the most effective.  In this example, Brian Marshall in 2016 was nearing the end of his career.  His 2016 campaign was the 16th best of his career (though he was still the 3rd best second baseman that year).  If we instead consider the top total WAR infields, then the top three becomes:
2035 Mississippi Ravens
PlayerWAR
1B Mack Outlaw9.50
2B Mark Stone7.20
3B Vicente Sesena5.20
SS Santo Tedesco10.20
Total32.10
2016 Mississippi Ravens
PlayerWAR
1B Nobukazu Takemura3.30
2B Brian Marshall4.80
3B Christopher Stormes9.20
SS Matt McQuade9.10
Total26.40
2026 Washington Griffins
PlayerWAR
1B Hank Carruthers8.00
2B Joel Huertas4.60
3B Issac Phillips6.70
SS Andrew Wilson5.20
Total24.50
There are a couple of other factors that I would also consider when answering the question of the greatest infield: namely, how did each player perform compared to his peers and what kind of star power did the infield boast?  I’ll cover these in SS #9.

Brian Marshall holds a distinction that will likely never be beaten or equaled.  He is the youngest major award winner when he won the Tyson Bacon Award in 2000 (then called the Babe Ruth Award) at the age of 18.  Remember that the league began with the creation of super-players?  Each owner was afforded an 18 year-old stud.  It seems those stud players were not built ready to play in the majors as most of them did not become full-time players until around 2002.  However, Brian Marshall was pressed into duty right away and responded with the MVP in the league’s inaugural year.  It turned out to be the only Bacon Award that Marshall would win.

5) Jack Hesse * 2026 - 2044
One of thirty players from the NPBL to have 3000 career hits.  The members of the 3000 hit club by position:
C – 3
1B – 3
2B – 6
3B – 5
SS – 6
LF – 2
CF – 1
RF – 4
It’s interesting that there are so many middle infielders on the list.  But then again, maybe that’s not unexpected given the super-players given at the inception of the league.  I would expect a large percentage of people to pick SS as the position of choice for a created stud.  Members of the 3000 hit club that were not super-players:
C – 3
1B – 3
2B – 4
3B - 4
SS – 2
LF – 0
CF – 1
RF - 4

6) Joel Huertas * 2014 - 2032
Huertas was the #1 overall pick in the 2012 draft.  It was the second year in a row that a player with the nickname “The Spade” was drafted #1.  Second basemen who have been drafted #1 overall:
2012Joel Huertas (#6)Florida Bluefish
2029Richard Reyer (#24)Washington Griffins
2035Jason Craddock (NR – would be #90)Nevada Jacks
2062Jake Young (#10)Illinois Jethawks

7) Blinky Crouch * 2018 - 2036
My All-Favorite Name Team:
C – Aaron Slaughter
1B – Thornton Swackhammer
2B – Looney Garmendia
3B – Nightmare Massengill
SS – Tate Hurricane
LF – Oscar Oakley
CF – Simon “Duran” Duran
RF – Specs Galloway
SP – Soggy Hogan
RP – Terminator Huseby
Blinky Crouch didn’t make the list as a 2B, though he is pretty close.  Second baseman have a higher proportion of great names compared to the other positions.  In addition to Garmendia and Crouch, I also considered Seamus O’Dule, Magpie Foster, and Ludwig “Lobster” Claus.


8 ) Clarence Smith * 2030 - 2042


9) Marvin Collins 2035 - 2050
According to my ratings, Marvin Collins is the highest ranking position player that I can see was denied the HoF.  On the reverse side, the lowest ranking position player that was admitted in the HoF is also a second baseman: #66 Zachary Matthews.  Now my rankings do not consider defensive wizardry and that is clearly where Matthews made his mark.  The fact that the MLB equivalent of the Gold Glove Award for the NPBL is named after Zachary Matthews is also a testament to Matthews’ qualifications.
The exclusion of Marvin Collins is worth another look.  Below is a table of the best five years of Collins and the best five years of Adam Anderson (#11) and Frank Gillbard (#20), both of whom are included in the Hall of Fame.
Player - Year  Avg     HR      RBI          R      BB      K      SB      OBP         SLG      OPS      WAR      tvSTAT     
Marvin Collins 2042.3462210311378367.419.4940.9139.97.69
Marvin Collins 2043.29219798066283.371.4280.7996.47.5
Marvin Collins 2044.30912607166372.381.4250.8066.97.45
Marvin Collins 2045.2999435039140.359.3980.7573.86.34
Marvin Collins 2040.309156910164327.382.4360.8186.46.29
Adam Anderson 2006.3302285108509358.380.4880.8687.47.43
Adam Anderson 2011.297177187597128.366.4520.8186.86.93
Adam Anderson 2010.315289890497132.369.4970.8668.56.91
Adam Anderson 2012.290228496687621.368.4590.8276.36.74
Adam Anderson 2007.2842454119428160.328.4350.7635.66.7
Frank Gillbard 2029.31644135114648612.392.5370.9298.27.56
Frank Gillbard 2028.3343011410550776.393.4970.896.86.53
Frank Gillbard 2027.2804210793617810.362.4840.8466.65.84
Frank Gillbard 2022.310188686633111.401.4520.8536.35.79
Frank Gillbard 2026.30829104104647612.394.4920.8866.95.51
Gillbard’s power numbers (especially in his top 3 years) really appear to pop out, and Adam Anderson has an advantage when it comes to stolen bases.  But Marvin Collins has an underrated skill: the ability to avoid strikeouts.  Collins ranks ahead of Anderson and Gillbard for a couple of reasons.  First, Collins’ best years are huddled together.  The theory is that the reputation of Collins would continue to grow as he strung together consecutive outstanding seasons.  The second reason is that Collins was compares considerably better than his contemporaries at second base.  Collins was the best second baseman in the NPBL for six consecutive years (2042-2047) and the 2nd best twice (2041 & 2048).  Adam Anderson, having played in the era where he competed against other super-players like Brian Marshall and Seamus O’Dule, was never better than the third.  Frank Gillbard was only the tops in the league during his best two years – while competing with fellow HoFers Blinky Crouch, Mark Stone and Jack Hesse.

10) Jake Young 2063 - 2075
Jake Young will be 35 years old by the time the season starts this year, but unless he is quite a bit better than he has been the past two years, it’s unlikely that he will rise any more on this ranking. 
Despite winning two Bacon Awards, Young has never been ranked as the top Second Baseman in any given year.  Here are the top 5 Second Baseman from 2067 through 2075:
2067
Bob Griffith
Jake Young
Spencer Richardson
Magpie Foster*
Daniel Cooper
2068
Bob Griffith
Jake Young*
Tim Martin*
Spencer Richardson
Magpie Foster
2069
Bob Griffith*
Jake Young
Tim Martin
Daniel Cooper
Jonathan Robinson
2070
Bob Griffith*
Jake Young
Tim Martin
Jonathan Robinson
Roberto Gonzalez
2071
Bob Griffith
Jake Young*
Roberto Gonzalez
Jonathan Robinson
Tim Martin
2072
Bob Griffith
Roberto Gonzalez
Jake Young
Tim Martin
Pablo Delgado
2073
Tim Martin*
Roberto Gonzalez
Bob Griffith
Jake Young
Pablo Delgado
2074
Roberto Gonzalez
Adrian Amezaga
Bob Griffith
Tim Martin
Pablo Delgado
2075
Adrian Amezaga
Pablo Delgado
Roberto Gonzalez
Bob Griffith
Tim Martin
* denotes Bacon Award winner

11
League Press Releases / 75 for 75 - First Basemen
« on: June 20, 2018, 11:14:19 AM »
1) Walt Geldof * 2040 - 2062
Most times winning the Tyson Bacon Award:
Rank  Times Won     Player     
18 Walt Geldorf
2T6 Mark Sims
2T6 Stone Nichols
4T4 Tanner Chayse
4T4 Anthony Beckford
4T4 Tyson Bacon
4T4 Buzzy Stevens
4T4 Jocko Garcia
Despite winning the Bacon award the most times, Geldorf cannot say that he dominated his position more than any other player.  He was the best first baseman in the league in 9 different years.   As terrific as that is, there are players who ranked as their positions’ top player as many as 16 times.
In his Historical Abstract book, Bill James insinuates that if the player with the most Win Shares in a given year did not win the MVP award, then the voters got it wrong.  (To be fair, there are a number of times where voters simply did have it wrong).  By contrast, I figure that, whether the Bacon winner was assigned by the game or voted by the NPBL owners, the selection is likely more correct than my rating system.  I compare the two to see if it validates my rating. 
Out of the 152 Bacon Award winners, 106 (70%) were ranked as the tops at their position for that year.  Another 30 winners (20%) were the 2nd best at their position.  Since there are Bacon Award winners in both the FFL and the GEL, both recipients cannot be the top player overall in the league.  At best, the two award winners could be 1st and 2nd. 
Bacon Award winners who rank as: the best overall player that year – 35 (23%)
Best overall player35(23%)
2nd best24(16%)
3rd best14(9%)
4th best9(6%)
5th best9(6%)
6th best6(4%)
7th best9(6%)
8th best6(4%)
9th best7(5%)
10th best7(5%)
11th through 15th9(6%)
16th through 20th8(5%)
21st or more9(6%)
As for Walt Geldorf, in the 8 years that he won the Tyson Bacon Award, my rating system shows him as the best player in the NPBL 4 of those years (2043-2046).  In 2048, he was 2nd best.  In 2047, he ranks 3rd best.  In 2042, he was 5th best and finally in 2053, he shows as my 11th best player.

2) Mark Sims * 2037 - 2055
Sims’ career almost completely intersects Geldorf’s career.  One of the rather large factors in my ratings is the player’s YOPDI score.  YOPDI is a measurement of how dominant the player is over time.  If a player is the best at their position for a given year, he receives 10 YOPDI points.  The 2nd best receives 8 points and so on.  The top 8 players receive points.  (The scale is adjusted and a 9th player earns points during the years there were 28 teams in the league).  I was concerned that Sims’ overall ranking might suffer since he played during the same years as Geldorf.  However, it turned out not to be the case as Sims easily finished with the 2nd most YOPDI points for a 1st baseman.
Geldorf and Sims end up ranked 1st and 2nd (or 2nd and 1st) in every metric I looked at for ranking the players.  They have the top score for single seasons, for best five years, for their careers and top YOPDI scores.  They are far-and-away the top two at the position.

3) John Gleaves * 2009 - 2027
Gleaves hit a total of 533 home runs during his career.  He is one of 16 players in NPBL’s 500 HR club.  (Jocko Garcia needs 20 more dingers to join the club).  In the MLB, there are currently 27 players in the 500 HR club.  Of course, the MLB has played longer than the NPBL (though we are catching up!).  Considering the years 1920 to 1995, there were 14 players in the MLB group.  In the NPBL, 6 of the 16 (38%) players are first basemen.  In the MLB, 3 of the first 14 (21%) were first baseman with 10 of the total 27 (37%).
In his Historical Abstract, James would at times refer to the fact that x% of a player’s value came from the home run.  I don’t know how he calculated that, but I would think that Gleaves’ would have a rather high percentage of his overall value from the home run.  He did not hit for average, or steal bases.  Nor did he have very many extra base hits that weren’t home runs.  The one thing Gleaves would do is walk an average amount.  However, Gleaves is certainly NOT the player with the MOST value added by the home run.  That distinction surely goes to Jose Hernandez (#47 on this list).

4) Sonny Miller 2064 - 2075
Miller being ranked this high is a surprise to me.  I might be accused of some hometown bias, but the ranking are purely objective.  What Miller has going for him is extraordinary consistency.  His top season is rather average as far as the top first baseman go, but his fifth best season is nearly equal to his best season.
Miller has slowed down a little, but he is still putting up all-star caliber numbers for Massachusetts.  The rankings only consider what has been accomplished to this point.  Should Miller contribute another 2-3 exceptional seasons, he may be able to overtake John Gleaves for the #3 spot.

5) Mack Outlaw * 2025 - 2042
Mack Outlaw played for the North Carolina Clippers for the first nine years of his career before being traded to the Mississippi Ravens franchise in 2034.  By the end of 2038, the Raven franchise dissolved and became the Georgia Hornets.  The club only stayed 4 years in Georgia before moving to Kansas to become the second incarnation of the Kansas Storm.  Outlaw didn’t make the move as he retired a Georgia Hornet, narrowly missing being the 3rd first baseman in the top 10 to play for the Kansas Storm (Geldorf and Martinez). 
As mentioned, this Kansas Storm franchise was the second incarnation.  The first version began with the inception of the NPBL and contracted (along with New York, Rhode Island and Texas) in 2042.  When it comes to first baseman, the first version of the Storm was the opposite of the second version.  In fact, one could argue that the original Storm first baseman was the weakest position for any franchise.  The best first baseman in the history for the original Storm was Jose Rojas.  Rojas checks in at #42 on this list.  However, the reason Rojas makes a #42 ranking is due in large part to his time spent with Minnesota.  While in Kansas, the best season Rojas had was only a WAR of 1.5 in 2016.  The best WAR by a first baseman in an original Storm uniform was 2.9 by Robert Killian in 2022 – the lowest best score for any position for any franchise.  The second lowest was also a first baseman.  Jeffery Eisenberg (#74) for the Rhode Island Reds. 
Weakest position by franchise:
Team   Position     Best Season (WAR)     
Kansas* 1B2.9
Oregon \ Maine \ Rhode Island* 1B4.0
Hawaii* LF4.2
Michigan* RF4.4
Maryland 2B4.6
Texas* RF4.7
Georgia (Kentucky)* 3B4.9
California RF4.9
North Carolina 3B5.1
Nova Scotia (Ohio)* C5.2
Wisconsin 1B/3B5.4
Massachusetts LF5.9
Nevada LF6.0
Colorado C6.1
Pennsylvania C6.2
Louisiana C6.2
Minnesota CF6.3
Tennessee CF6.4
New Jersey (Kentucky\Virginia\Ontario) 1B/SS6.4
Florida 1B/RF6.5
New Mexico LF6.5
Illinois RF6.6
Utah (Montana) LF6.6
New York* CF6.7
Washington 2B6.7
Idaho (Connecticut) 1B7.3
Virginia (DC) SS7.8
Kansas (Mississippi \ Georgia) 2B8.1
* - franchises that were either expansion or contracted.
A couple notes: all players are assigned a “career position” based on where the player played the most games.  It is possible for a team to have an outstanding player who served a season or more at a non-career position.  This does not “count” in the above rankings.  For example, Donnie “Bloody” Bremer qualifies as a third baseman for Maryland.  Although he played a few seasons as the Admiral’s primary second baseman, all of those seasons actually count towards the third baseman ratings.
Secondly, the lowest season WAR is but one way to look at the weakest position argument.  I may present a couple of other perspectives on this in other rankings.

12
League Press Releases / 75 for 75 - Catchers
« on: June 14, 2018, 10:59:57 AM »
Ranking the top 75 catchers for the NPBL from 2000 - 2075

1) Jocko García 2061 - 2075
I was kind of surprised to see current Hounds catcher Jocko Garcia at the top of the list of catchers when I completed the formulaic sort.  But looking at it closer, I think it’s the right call.  But it’s very close between Garcia and Glenn Steger.  Steger was a more up-and-down and although his “up” years were better than Garcia, Garcia’s consistency trumps Steger.   
The stat that I primarily utilize in the rankings I have named tvSTAT.  It has an element of growing/declining reputation involved.  For instance, consider Player A whose career arc goes:
Yr1 – 1
Yr2 – 3
Yr3 – 5
Yr4 – 5
Yr5 – 5
Yr6 – 3
Yr7 – 1
compared to Player B:
Yr1 – 4
Yr2 – 6
Yr3 – 1
Yr4 – 3
Yr5 – 5
Yr6 – 1
Yr7 – 3
Both players have the same total for their career, and both players accomplished a 5 in Yr5.  Player A’s Yr5 tvSTAT is likely to be pretty close to 5.0, while Player B will show somewhere around 3.75 for Yr5.

2) Glenn Steger * 2024 - 2046
Which catcher put up the best individual season?  The candidates are shown in the table below. 
The overall player rankings rely heavily on the tvSTAT, which has adjustments for reputation and injuries.  However, when answering the question about the greatest season, the tvSTAT is probably not the best metric to use.  To answer that question, I would go back to looking at WAR (which tvSTAT uses at it’s base) or OPS.  Glenn Steger’s 2037 campaign was probably the best by a catcher in the history of the NPBL.
Player - Year  Avg     HR      RBI          R      BB      K      SB      OBP         SLG      OPS      WAR      tvSTAT     
Glenn Steger 2037.38330123121112822.492.5631.055119.48
Rogelio Pessoa 2038.32935113113103440.449.5150.964109.49
Grubby Thompson 2039.34039128129925923.432.5600.992108.98
Jocko García 2066.3484210711387520.444.5721.01610.610.32
Jocko García 2067.3353510210779580.432.5230.9559.910.52
                                       
 
3) Christopher Ferrante * 2003 - 2018
Best catcher by year for the years that Ferrante played:
2003 – Antonio Hernandez
2004 – Antonio Hernandez
2005 – Christopher Ferrante
2006 - Christopher Ferrante
2007 - Christopher Ferrante
2008 - Christopher Ferrante
2009 - Christopher Ferrante
2010 - Christopher Ferrante
2011 – Vernon Castanon
2012 – Vernon Castanon
2013 - Christopher Ferrante
2014 - Christopher Ferrante
2015 - Christopher Ferrante
2016 – Tony Romo
2017 – Tony Romo
2018 – Bill Worm

4) Bill Worm * 2014 - 2029
First overall pick by Florida in 2014.  If I get the time, I’d like to see how the players from the various draft slots compare.  I’m sure that the #1 overall pick will come out on top, but by how much?

5) Grubby Thompson * 2023 - 2042

Best catcher by age:
18 – Glenn Steger
19 – Christopher Delaney
20 – Christopher Delaney
21 – Sandro Gonzalez
22 – Christopher Ferrante
23 – Rogelio Pessoa
24 – Christopher Ferrante
25 – Christpher Ferrante
26 – Jocko Garcia
27 – Jocko Garcia
28 – Jocko Garcia
29 – Jocko Garcia
30 – Jocko Garcia
31 – Glenn Steger
32 – Glenn Steger
33 – Grubby Thompson
34 – Richard Ruffner
35 – Tracy Jordan
36 – Grubby Thompson
37 – Grubby Thompson
38 – Grubby Thompson
39 – Grubby Thompson
40 – Grubby Thompson
41 – Grubby Thompson

Oldest player to win a Tyson Bacon Award:
38 – Grubby Thompson (2039)
36 – Mark Sims (2050)
35 – Anthony Beckford (2009)
35 – Bob Griffith (2070)
35 – Jocko Garcia (2074)

 
6) Tony Romo * 2013 - 2026
“The name rings a bell” team:
C – Tony Romo
1B – Howard Lovecraft
2B – Carlos Pena
3B – Harley Race
SS – Jose Canseco
LF – Judge Judy
CF – Dallas Clark
RF – Harry Andrews
SP – James Watson
RP – Kelly Martin

7) Rogelio Pessoa * 2030 - 2043
In 2027, the NPBL expanded by 4 teams, adding Ohio (now Nova Scotia), Kentucky (now Georgia) to the FFL and Michigan and Hawaii to the GEL.  Comparing and contrasting the GEL expansion teams is sort of an interesting exercise. 
An expansion draft was held to fill the rosters of the expansion teams.  Not surprisingly, all the expansion teams were bad.  The four expansion teams drafted in the top 6 in 2028.  Hawaii was the worst of the bunch, but instead of drafting Buzzy Stevens, they traded the pick to Minnesota.  Hawaii would continue to lose 90+ games through 2035.
Michigan had the best record among the expansion teams in 2027 – and although they also lost 90+ games in the beginning, they drafted very well:
2028 - Brian Atencio
2029 – Francisco Gonzales, Keith Knapp
2030 – Rogelio Pessoa, Leon Colome
2031 – Ed Hansen
2032 – Mark Sims
In 2032, the club’s sixth year in existence, they became the first expansion team to post a winning season, roaring to a 96-66 record.  The Militia averaged 92 wins over the next 5 years – making the playoffs each year.  However, success in the playoffs eluded them, as they lost in first round each year. 
The year of 2037 proved to be the coming-of-age year for the expansion teams.  All 4 expansion teams made the playoffs.  For Ohio and Hawaii, it was their first postseason appearance.  Kentucky had made the postseason in 2035 only to have an early exit, and Michigan was making its sixth straight appearance, but had yet to make out of the first round.  In addition, 2037 was another first for an expansion team: the first position player on an expansion team to win the Tyson Bacon Award: Rogelio Pessoa.  Michigan (101-61) was the #2 seed and managed to finally make it out of the first round in a seven game thriller against Wisconsin.  Hawaii (80-82), who managed to just squeak into the playoffs as the #8 seed, somehow found a way to dispatch of the #1 seed Washington, 4 games to 1.  In the FFL, both Ohio and Kentucky found themselves going home after the first round.
Michigan defeated California in a sweep to reach the GEL championship series, where their opponent was… Hawaii, who pulled off another upset this time defeating Idaho 4-1. 
In the GEL championships, the series went down to the wire.  Hawaii continued its magical post season run and sent the Militia home 4 games to 3.  Following that, Hawaii was able to down Rhode Island 4-1 to become the first expansion franchise to from home a championship.

8 ) Andrew Jones 2036 - 2056
The idea for this list comes from the published book by Bill James whereby he rates the top 100 players in MLB history.  In the book, James provides an excerpt for every player on his list.  Although it would be cool if I could do that, I simply cannot because:
1)   A lot of the pieces James provides are off-the-field stories and/or based on the players’ personalities or other things that just aren’t available in OOTP.
2)   I don’t have the time.
It’s my goal to put in a little something for the players in the top 10 at each position.  I have planned some of the things James provides in his book such as:
1)   Best team of all-time
2)   Best infield
3)   Best outfield
4)   Best pitching staff
5)   Biggest fluke season
6)   Most top 75 players on the same team
7)   Weakest position (over the course of the 75 yrs) for a franchise
8 )   The worst best season by position
These will be interspersed within the ratings as I’ve done here.  If anyone has other ideas for interesting studies, let me know and I’ll see if I can fit them in.  I’ll post each positions’ rankings as I get these excerpts written.
What does any of this have to do with Andrew Jones?  Nothing.  Andrew Jones was a left-handed hitting catcher who could hit for average and power.  Jones’ career was split nearly in half.  The first half he played for the Virginia Grays and the second half for the Minnesota Wolves.  It’s interesting that in his time with Grays, Jones hit .313, while with the Wolves his batting average was only .280.  The league average from 2037-2044 in the FFL was .259, and in the years Jones played in the GEL (2045-2056) it was .252.  So the slip in batting average is probably not attributable to Jones switching leagues. 

9) Bill Collins * 2031 - 2047
Bill Collins vs Pedro Torrez.  My first reaction is that Collins is out ahead of Torrez by a length or so, but on closer inspection, it’s really pretty close.  Torrez rates as having a better peak, but Collins holds the edge for having played at a high level for longer.  Torrez is still playing, though he has slowed down considerably.  Perhaps if he has a revival, he may be able to pass Collins in these rankings.
In Collins’ best seasons (2036-2038), he was actually only the third best catcher in the league – because he had Steger and Pessoa ahead of him.  Later in his career, when Steger and Pessoa had slowed down or retired, Collins had have a couple of seasons where he ranks as the top catcher in the NPBL.

10) Pedro Torrez 2063 - 2075
While Bill Collins was consistently overshadowed by Steger and Pessoa, Torrez was habitually topped by (1) Jocko Garcia, and (2) the various catchers having their career year.  A look at the yearly top 5 catchers of the last 10 years:
2066
1 – Jocko Garcia
2 – Jorge Garcia
3 – Pedro Torrez
4 – Maximo Cruz
5 – Gerardo Vildosola
2067
1 – Jocko Garcia
2 – Pedro Torrez
3 – Maximo Cruz
4 – Gerardo Vildosola
5 – Jorge Garcia
2068
1 – Jocko Garcia
2 – Maximo Cruz
3 – Bruce Graham
4 – Jose Ramirez
5 – Pedro Torrez
2069
1 – Jocko Garcia
2 – Joe Roberts
3 – Pedro Torrez
4 – Sandro Gonzalez
5 – Maximo Cruz
2070
1 – Jocko Garcia
2 – Pedro Torrez
3 – Jose Ramirez
4 – Sandro Gonzalez
5 – Joe Roberts
2071
1 – Pedro Torrez
2 – Sandro Gonzalez
3 – Jocko Garcia
4 – Jeff Smith
5 – Chris Stelfox
2072
1 – Pedro Torrez
2 – Jocko Garcia
3 – Sandro Gonzalez
4 – Matt Failes
5 – Gil Pruitt
2073
1 – Gil Pruitt
2 – Pedro Torrez
3 – Jocko Garcia
4 – Matt Failes
5 – Sandro Gonzalez
2074
1 – Jocko Garcia
2 – Jimmy Cardenas
3 – Matt Failes
4 – Pedro Torrez
5 – Sandro Gonzalez
2075
1 – Jimmy Cardenas
2 – Jocko Garcia
3 – Jorge Garcia
4 – Matt Failes
5 – Chris Stelfox

13
General Discussion / Help me with a NPBL project
« on: June 07, 2018, 07:23:05 AM »
I've had some free time right now and so I've embarked on a study that I thought would be fun.  I've been working on a Bill-James-Abstract style ranking of the top 75 players at each position.  (75 because we've just concluded the year 2075).  I started with position players and did a lot of copy-pasting of the OOTP player-page table "Career Stats".  From that table, I've been keying on WAR - which isn't exactly all-encompassing (for example, defense isn't baked in), but it's still decent and I've been satisfied with the results.

I read some of Bill James online about how he ranks.  This article incorporates several things that I used in my rankings including adjusting for injuries, using previous seasons as part of the value and the YOPDI score which evaluates "was a player ever the best (or among the best) at his position".

Anyway, back to the topic in the subject line... I continued on with using the WAR as the cornerstone for pitchers and I'm not happy with the result.  In the end, the metric showed that the best individual season by a pitcher was 2005 Steven Williams.  (See table below)  Not to take anything away from Steven Williams, but that 2005 season doesn't look better to some of the other seasons in the table.

What I'm trying to do is find a stat, or create one, that does an "okay" job of evaluating pitchers' seasons so they can be ranked.

I've looked around the internet trying to see what Bill James or other sabermatricians say.  If there is a particular stat they use to key on.  Although, I found this article extremely interesting, it's not something I am able to duplicate. 

None of the stats as given seem to even come close to giving a proper ranking.  FWIW, although Win-Shares is not available for all seasons (unless I figure a way to re-calculate it).  But it is included in the old Catobase (2000-2029) and the most Win-Shares in a season is that Aaron Bacon 2005 season.   

Player - Year  W-L     ERA      IP          HA      ER      BB      K         CG      SHO      WHIP      BABIP      FIP      WAR      ERA+      tvSTAT*     
Steven Williams 2005 14-133.52278.125210954428641.1000.5519.7010924.00
Steven Williams 2003 21-72.47283.22087844445730.8900.3321.0014523.46
Steven Williams 2004 10-83.67174.01637124291511.0700.1113.7010122.46
James Yim 200730-41.24304.016942393751160.6801.1217.9030720.82
James Yim 201119-71.36271.01334135263640.6201.2813.5025017.89
Edgardo Castillo 200422-81.05281.2178333828219110.7701.4414.1033915.11
Albert Olmos 200514-134.34247.024711934195811.1401.8810.708915.04
Aaron Bacon 200527-81.93336.118172782691360.7702.1412.8019413.44
* - tvSTAT is my creation that I used for the positional players with satisfactory results.  It keys primarily on WAR with a few adjustments.

14
NPBL Hall of Fame / The Missing Years
« on: May 30, 2018, 06:57:24 AM »
I'm bringing this topic over to a new thread so as not to corrupt any discussion about the players currently on the HoF ballot.

I’ve been kicking around in Catobase to see whether I could figure out a way to recover the players who were accidentally wiped off the ballot several years ago. Unfortunately I can’t figure out how to restore them.

What I propose is that we go ahead and have a big ballot that goes all season, and then I can put together a series of “veterans’ committee” ballots that we do in the forum to cover those guys who were accidentally skipped.

I was looking through the Bacon/Yim Award winners to see who was elected and who was not.  There are a number of guys that retired in the 50's and 60's that I can't see were on a ballot.  They were probably on the StatsLab ballot along with the 2070 class, and therefore are part of the "accidentally skipped" group?

In addition to that group, there some other players that look like we approved to be elected, but they are not currently showing in the Hall of Fame
Hal Rehm
Tony Romo
JL Carrillo
Buzzy Stevens
Keith Knapp
Wayne Beamon
Soggy Hogan
Glenn Steger
Eddie Henderson
Daniel Metcalf
Francois Dussault
Matt Carter

Finally, there are a couple of players who retired a long time ago that I don't see were elected, nor do I see where they appeared on a ballot anywhere. 
Kevin Smith
Jonathan Alexander

15
Free Agent/NYSL Claims / MA claims P Jason Charles
« on: April 14, 2018, 04:01:22 PM »
From the NYSL.  Please place in AAA.

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